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Sámicosmologies: Exploring Indigenous Knowledge Cultures and Practices of Star-Gazing

This project offers increased understanding of arctic Indigenous cosmologies as a form of environmental knowledge and traces their significance for communities in times of environmental crisis. With a special focus on traditional Sámi cosmologies and Sámi contemporary art, the goal is to explore and trace the appearance of human and non-human protagonists within Indigenous stories, especially about the starry polar night skies. By reappearing each night, these more-than-human figures became haunting entities which provided abstract nature-human relationships with a concrete, sensual and alluring form. Today, Sámi artists refer to these haunting figures to draw attention to their troubled cultural history and the present reality of climate-affected regions. The integration of traditional, recurring ghostly figures from Sámi storytelling – that migrate between the celestial and the earthly, as well as the human and the non-human – stresses the urgency of changing the way humans relate to nature. What is more, these fascinating, haunting and visionary figures provoke speculative futures, in which nature is regarded as a non-human subject. As this concept is becoming increasingly crucial in eco-philosophical debates and policy decisions on environmental justice, this project aims to show that Sámi cosmologies – especially when mediated through art – can play a vital role in changing humans’ perspective on nature.  In recent years, contemporary art has been called upon to give a sensual form to the abstract systematic connections of climate change; the extent of the current crisis is difficult for people to grasp. As a consequence, art is gaining a central role within our societies; it stands at the threshold between sciences, politics and culture. This project deals with art that is engaged in the severe environmental changes of this planet and that stands on the threshold between communicating urgency and being more than a mere messenger of environmental research.

Fostering Linguistic Capital: A Roadmap for Reversing the Diversity Crisis and Activating Societal Benefits in Europe

The FOSTERLANG project aims to have a transformative effect on how minoritised languages are protected, used and promoted in Europe in the context of the competitive societal dynamic between dominant and non-dominant languages. This will be achieved by developing evidence-based diagnostics of the minority-language condition and by suggesting strategic and technologically informed initiatives to protect and enhance their socio-economic position. The project consortium brings the cross-cultural, multidisciplinary expertise of 14 participating organisations in an ambitious partnership of intellectual enquiry on key societal aspects of protecting the EU linguistic diversity. Its members combine strengths and expertise in sociolinguistics, social anthropology, education and pedagogy, language planning, digital innovation, computer science, public policy and language revitalisation. The partners will work in tandem to develop a new societal and institutional dispensation by which minoritised language communities will catalyse their contested linguistic capital to counteract the socio-political and economic forces which continue to undermine a sustainable future for Europe’s linguistic minorities and migrants. The work packages are centred on fostering linguistic capital not only from the perspective of protecting Europe’s multicultural diversity, but also to indicate how linguistic capital can enhance other components of human capital, such as economic, demographic and health-related well-being. The project aligns with strategic priorities of EU and the Horizon Europe programme in fostering societal coherence of different linguistic communities living in their shared spaces. The major outcome will be a Linguistic Capital Road Map which will set out a substantive set of recommendations for the short, medium and long-term on effective and meaningful strategies for fostering Europe’s linguistic capital and for safeguarding grassroots multilingualism.

EU Decarbonisation in Times of Crises: Exploring Social Innovations and Enhancing an Equitable Twin Transition

DeCrises addresses the complex challenges of the European Union (EU)'s twin transition that is reshaping society, the economy, and infrastructure at every level of governance. Through four case studies from the EU and European Economic Area, our primary goal is to pinpoint the gaps in the existing Multilevel Governance (MLG) framework guiding the twin transition and propose solutions that pave the way for an equitable transition.  While the EU committed to achieving carbon neutrality by 2050, recent global crises, such as the COVID-19 pandemic and geopolitical tensions, have added complexity to the twin transition. This underscores the importance of cross-border collaboration and coordinated strategies at various levels of governance. DeCrises focuses on five objectives: To conceptualise a bottom-up MLG framework to foster citizen participation and stimulate social innovation and collaboration for an inclusive twin transition; To develop a robust MLG implementation strategy to translate the vision of a just twin transition across all levels of governance within the EU; To develop an understanding of community-led social innovations as drivers of twin transition and their role in MLG processes; To identify strategies to enhance regional and intra-regional collaboration and resilience; To facilitate and establish channels of collaboration and knowledge exchange between a diverse set of actors and explore ways to enhance policy instruments at various levels of governance. Transitioning to a green future requires significant changes to institutions historically tied to fossil fuels and limited levels of digitalisation. We focus on a shift from top-down decision-making to a more inclusive, democratic approach involving various levels of governance, including governments, businesses, and civil society. Our project provides comprehensive policy recommendations for improvement of MLG to strengthen democratic governance in the EU and ensure a just twin transition.

Driving Sustainable Climate Transition of Video-On-Demand Platforms at a Time of Transformation

The overarching goal of StreamSCAPES is to kick start a new era in forward “thinking and doing” in the ways in which production, consumption and decision-making systems in the Cultural and Creative Industries (CCIs) lead through the sustainable climate transition (SCT) with a particular emphasis on Video-On-Demand (VOD) platforms as central nodes within audiovisual and cultural ecosystems. Specifically, StreamSCAPES will provide (i) an interdisciplinary mapping and assessment of the ways in which it is possible to substantially “green” the operations of VOD platforms in the CCIs, (ii) pilot the transformative impact of VOD platforms to engage in “Blue Skies” generation of ideas through a ‘hubs’ based approach, in the form of a future studies approach with a special focus on children and youth, and (iii) co-test the potential of VOD platforms to contribute to the SCT in line with the European Industrial Strategy and the European Green Deal. To achieve this, a multi-stakeholder team of four core academics and eight key stakeholders, including several European VOD platforms, combines original data and knowledge and collated best practices. StreamSCAPES, among other things, (a) develops robust methods to measure the carbon footprint of VOD platforms and a pilot SCT VOD certification; (b) designs and develops business clinics providing advice on how VOD platforms can best green their business models; (c) develops a StreamSCAPES Dashboard making public data, such as the carbon footprints of VOD platforms, available to policymakers, professionals and citizens; (d) identifies underutilised approaches that can be used by VOD platforms to boost the SCT; (e) delivers a first-aid kit handbook to empower VOD professionals, audiovisual and cultural workers, and citizens to support the SCT in a bottom-up manner, paying particular attention to engaging young people and children in practices and ‘Blue Skies’ imaginations towards innovation.

Political and community engagement, trust and identity among European adolescents and emerging adults

The project will develop and validate measures on adolescents’ and emerging adults’ social, cultural and political identity, their sense of belongingness in different groups, their participation in physical and online communities, their interest in democratic participation and their trust in democratic institutions. The measures will be used to explore and understand 13- and 15-year olds’ political and community engagement in almost all countries in Europe through the survey “Health Behaviour in School-aged Children. A WHO-Collaborative Study” as well as emerging adults turned 18 years of age. Further, qualitative information on adolescents’ and emerging adults’ perspectives of what is political and community engagement to them and how to they act on or communicate their perspectives on key societal issues will be collected and analysed. The project will also identify formal and informal structures for youth democratic participation in a selected number of countries. A key focus here will be to explore adolescents’ and young adults’ participation in communities on social media platforms to learn where and how they communicate their political and community engagement. Finally, the project will develop policy initiatives with adolescents and emerging adults and policy makers using the Co-Create Dialogue Forum tool, including piloting of strategies in Living Labs. Marginalized groups will be given particular emphasis in the analyses to identify need for specific focus in policy development strategies.

Driving inclusive care: economic democracy and social economy

Social economy organisations play a crucial role in tackling social exclusion. However, the development of social economy governance frameworks and their impact on social inclusion remains insufficiently explored. The DICES project aims to bridge this gap with a threefold objective: (i) Enhance understanding of Europe's social economy and identify factors driving its uneven development; (ii) Evaluate the role of social economy organisations in addressing social exclusion and improving services and workplaces; (iii) Recommend policy measures and governance frameworks to unlock the social economy's potential, including strategies for identifying and promoting best practices. DICES, first, establishes a conceptual and empirical framework and conducts a mapping, examining the social economy's integration into welfare governance frameworks. Second, DICES uses 'deep dives' to investigate contributions at local, including in left behind places, and organisational levels, including in the provision of care. This work builds on case studies and pilot actions, a survey, small-scale experiments and other innovative methods. This approach is connected through the identification of conditions that would allow organisational experiments to scale up into institutional experiments. DICES uses interdisciplinary methods across EU and non-EU countries. The project engages stakeholders through co-design of pilot actions and peer review cycles, complementing quantitative and qualitative studies. Stakeholder input helps develop concrete policy proposals. DICES disseminates findings through research papers policy briefs, a digital storyboard, webinars, and toolboxes for policymakers and practitioners to maximise impact on policymakers, stakeholders, and the public.

Integrating Diversity in Social Dialogue: Strengthening the EU's Labour Market in the Digital and Green Age

INTEGRATE-DIALOGUE aims to enhance the inclusiveness of social dialogue in the EU, United Kingdom and Norway, focusing on non-standard workers (NSWs). It addresses the need for their effective representation in the evolving labour market, marked by digital and green transitions, to prevent an increase in inequality, in-work poverty, and social exclusion. The project proposes a comprehensive, multidisciplinary, and comparative approach encompassing multiple countries, business models, various forms of NSWs, and social dialogue at different levels.   The novelty of the initiative is to place NSWs needs, interests and motivations for representation and voice in the spotlight (bottom-up perspective). These findings will be matched by strategies, willingness and distributional costs among social partners to include NSWs in social dialogue processes, and how this is played out in different Industrial Relations and employment regimes (top-down approach). To investigate barriers and facilitators for integrating NSWs into social dialogue, we combine a social science and legal approach. Stakeholder engagement will be used to offer actionable insights and recommendations for policymakers, social partners, and other stakeholders.   Through extensive dissemination activities, including developing an Open Policy Toolbox, we will make social partners able to adjust strategies, and bridge gaps between NSWs and social partner. The ultimate goal is to create a cohesive, effective, and legally robust environment that supports an inclusive and adaptive social dialogue framework, ensuring that all workers are effectively represented and their interests safeguarded in the face of rapid market transformations. The project comprises distinguished scholars located in eight European countries, representing various Industrial Relations and employment regimes. These scholars possesses extensive experience researching non-standard workers and social dialogue, both nationally and comparatively.

To develop autonomous robots that are able to comply with social conventions and expectations, and avoid rejection from humans requires that robots must be aware of the social context in which they operate. To this extent, robots need to be endowed with high levels of reactivity, proactivity, responsiveness, and intelligibility. The Doctoral Network - Industrial Doctorates on Social aWareness for sErvicE roboTs (SWEET) aims at training a new generation of research and professional figures able to advance the development of socially aware robots capable of perceiving, interpreting, and responding to human emotions, intentions, and cultural differences. The training program will offer a diverse curriculum, encompassing theoretical knowledge, hands-on technical skills, and real-world application scenarios. The network's interdisciplinary approach includes various fields, such as artificial intelligence, machine learning, human-robot interaction, computer vision, and cognitive sciences. Doctoral candidates will be immersed in cutting-edge research and innovation, gaining insights from the experience of both industrial and academic acclaimed research groups. The network will place a strong emphasis on ethical considerations and responsible innovation, deploying socially aware robots aligned with societal values and promoting inclusivity.  Doctoral Candidates will also have the opportunity to participate in a unique coaching program for continuous professional development of their soft and leadership individual skills. Integration Milestones following a Scenario-Based Learning approach will provide co-working activities where collaborative design/implementation is fostered. The inter-sectoral collaboration between academia, user groups’ representatives, business developers, and robot manufacturers of the project will further strengthen the novelty and impact of the research and training, and that research results are economically, socially, and technically feasible.

Social aWareness for sErvicE roboTs

Resilience through re-skilling and upskilling for European labour markets in transition

The ongoing global challenges and the twin transition of sectors results in a profound reshaping of the European labour market, jobs and necessary competencies and is likely to lead to skill mismatches. SkillResilience4EU aims to reframe the concept of resilience of the European labour markets under the fast-paced digital and green changes and related challenges, and to outline actionable pathways to narrow the labour market mismatches that this twin transition triggers, through reskilling and upskilling. SkillResilience4EU's objectives are: (1) The development of a novel conceptual framework to understand the impacts of the twin transition on European labour markets, in particular job creation and job destruction processes, and the interplay between the twin transition and other micro and macro drivers of change. (2) The investigation of the complex mechanisms, dynamics, and challenges that European labour markets undergo through the twin transition, and the delivery of recommendations and practical resources to support decision makers in managing the twin transition, focusing on the inclusion of left behind groups and places. (3) The mapping and evaluation of educational and training programmes for reskilling and upskilling and to deliver recommendations and practical resources to support individuals and employers in managing the twin transition, focusing on career guidance and development. (4) The promotion and facilitation of the further uptake of the project’s Key Exploitable Results and other outputs through active and broad dissemination towards key stakeholder groups. It consists of a consortium with interdisciplinary expertise in social sciences and humanities of 7 universities, 2 VET providers and 1 local authority and 8 work packages. SkillResilience4EU will go beyond the state of the art as it can have significant implications on the twin transition of the European labour markets, and the design of relevant policies and education and training practices.

Contentious Politics and Democratic Renewal in Sustainability Transitions

Trans4Demo is an evidence-based and impact-driven set of actions to address contentious politics arising from climate change and sustainable transitions. These conflicts are seen as a critical challenge for democratic systems, and their importance is expected to grow in the future. Authoritarian tendencies and right-wing populism have weakened social cohesion, making large parts of EU populations less willing to change their practices and hindering responses to climate challenges.  The main objective of the project is to investigate the role and evolution of diverse forms of opposition and contentious politics of sustainability transitions, and their impact on democracy. We aim at delivering the temporality-sensitive conceptual framework, practical understandings, and policy recommendations to assist in democracy reinvigoration. By exploring these intersections, we identify specific scientific, consensus-based, and politically normative goals that political communities in diverse European contexts could pursue. Empirically, throughout the project, we will (1) focus on practical understandings of the role of various bottom-up mobilizations against the populist backdrop, (2) identify novel sites of constructive democratic engagement, and (3) address the role of trust in the democratic process, including the validity of electoral processes. Building on this, (4) we will provide sound, research-based policy recommendations that balance bottom-up and top-down perspectives for democratic renewal.  To achieve these targets, we will employ triangulated and participatory methodologies, including case studies and future-oriented methods, developed in collaboration with societal actors involved in the project—from the initial design of the research agenda to fieldwork and dissemination activities.

NASTRAN: Numerisk Analyse av Stokastisk TRANsport

Midlene fra FRIPRO-Fri prosjektstøtte fordelt på år

Midlene fra FRIPRO-Fri prosjektstøtte fordelt på fylker

Midlene fra FRIPRO-Fri prosjektstøtte fordelt på fagområde

Professor

Prosjektet har som mål å utforske og utvikle matematiske og numeriske metoder for å analysere stokastiske transportligninger. Disse ligningene er essensielle for å forstå hvordan tilfeldige fluktuasjoner (støy) påvirker dynamiske systemer som turbulens, vannbølger, geofysiske strømmer, og kompressibel væskebevegelse. Transportligninger er en type partielle differensialligninger som brukes til å modellere bevegelse og spredning av størrelser som masse, energi eller kjemiske stoffer i et medium. Disse ligningene tar hensyn til hastighetsfeltet, som beskriver retning og hastighet av bevegelsen i mediet. Ved å inkludere stokastiske elementer i disse modellene, kan vi ta høyde for tilfeldige påvirkninger eller støy som oppstår i systemet. Dette er avgjørende fordi mange naturlige og industrielle prosesser er utsatt for uforutsigbare faktorer, som kan ha innvirkning på deres dynamikk. Prosjektet fokuserer på gradientstøy, hvor hastighetsfeltene påvirkes av støy. Dette muliggjør energibevarende løsninger, noe som er ønskelig i fluidmekanikk. Energibevaring refererer til prinsippet om at den totale energien i et lukket system forblir konstant over tid, selv om den kan endre form. Konvensjonelle tilnærminger legger til såkalt Itô støy i kildeledd, noe som kontinuerlig tilfører energi. Gradientstøy krever avanserte matematiske verktøy for å håndtere dens komplekse påvirkning på systemene. Vi bruker Stratonovich- og Marcus-type fluktuasjoner for å representere denne støyen i hastighetsfeltene til transportligningene. Prosjektet har som mål å utvikle nye matematiske og numeriske teorier for å håndtere de spesifikke utfordringene som gradientstøy medfører. Vi fokuserer på å forstå superkritiske transportligninger, ikke-lineære bølgeligninger, og kompressibel Navier-Stokes ligninger. Viktige spørsmål er: (1) Har disse stokastiske ligningene en løsning? (2) Er løsningen entydig? (3) Er løsningen stabil ved endringer i inngangsdataene? (4) Hvordan kan løsningen beregnes numerisk?

Our project is at the cutting edge of numerical analysis of SPDEs affected by transport noise. Such equations have emerged as a focal point in mathematical research, due to their critical applications in areas like fluid dynamics, turbulence modeling, and geophysical flows. This heightened interest is driven by the need for deeper understanding and precise analysis of these complex phenomena, where SPDEs offer vital insights and predictive capabilities. What sets our research apart is its emphasis on transport-dominated systems driven by gradient noise operators. Prior numerical analysis studies have explored SPDEs with stochastic forcing, but the examination of gradient noise is still in its infancy. The complexity of gradient noise, involving anisotropic (integro-) differential operators due to stochastic calculus, presents unique challenges. There is a pressing need to develop methods that preserve the hyperbolic structure of these equations. Our project aims to pioneer this field by devising theoretically sound numerical algorithms and creating novel frameworks for stability and convergence. Our work considers supercritical transport equations, nonlinear wave equations, and the compressible Navier-Stokes equations. Research on stochastic transport equations is inspired by the famous Kraichnan turbulence model, which posits advection through a Gaussian velocity field. Yet, there is a growing consensus that noise in turbulent velocities might be better represented by a Lévy process with jumps. As the second main advancement of our project, we are breaking new ground by pioneering the analysis of SPDEs affected by Marcus-type gradient noise. This area is critically important yet hardly explored, with vast potential for groundbreaking discoveries. Marcus noise is distinct for adhering to the Newton-Leibniz chain rule, which is important in fluid dynamics, unlike the Stratonovich interpretation which fails to do so in the presence of jumps.

NASTRAN: Numerical Analysis of Stochastic TRANsport

De Forente Nasjoners klimapanel har fastslått at virkningen av meteorologiske og hydrologiske ekstremer er en trussel mot viktige samfunns¬funksjoner. Til tross for framgang i klimaforskning og strategier for tilpasning til klimaendringer er bruk av denne informasjonen begrenset på grunn av flere faktorer: begreper fra vitenskapelig teori er ikke tilpasset beslutningstakernes behov; usikkerhet i klimaframskrivinger; forskjell i geografisk skala i klimadata og beslutningstakernes behov; manglende evne til å beskrive naturlige variasjoner i dagens klima; og tilpasning til et klima i endring er bare noen av flere faktorer som beslutningstakere må forholde seg til for vurdering av effekten av meteorologiske og hydrologiske påvirkninger som medfører utfordringer for landbruk, næringsliv, samferdsel og bosetning. Beslutningsstøtteindikatorer med fokus på størrelse, sannsynlighet, romlig utstrekning og varighet av ekstreme hydroklimatiske hendelser er definert i samarbeid med lokale beslutningstakere og internasjonale samarbeidspartnere for å forenkle kommunikasjon av effekten av klimaendringer på viktige samfunnsfunksjoner. Et konseptuelt rammeverk med tre kategorier av beslutningsstøtteindikatorer er utviklet: Klassiske hydroklimatiske indikatorer basert på statistikk; Hendelsesbaserte indikatorer som sammenlikner framtidige hendelser med velkjente historiske hendelser; og Effektbaserte indikatorer som kvantifiserer de sosioøkonomiske virkningene av hendelser. Ekstreme hendelser fra nyere tid er sammenliknet med virkninger av klimaendringer for å bestemme sårbarhet og konsekvenser for lokale beslutningstakere. Et tverrfaglig miljø blant samarbeidspartnerne (hydrologi, meteorologi, klimavitenskap, bioøkonomi) sikrer en god balanse mellom forskning og operative applikasjoner. Hydrologiske modeller og den globale hydrologisk tjenesten World Wide Hype (https://hypeweb.smhi.se) er tilpasset vassdrag i Vestland fylke i Norge og Xinjiang-regionen i Kina. Romlig skala for modellene er nedbørfelt med inndeling i grid-ruter på 1 km2, skala i tid er fra ett døgn til flere dekader. Historiske hendelser er identifisert og beslutningsstøtteindikatorer er utviklet ved hjelp av observerte data og resultat fra modellenes beregninger. I Vestland fylke er hydrologiske prosesser og deres virkning på flom, tørke og vannkraftproduksjon undersøkt. Resultatene viser økning i størrelsen av flommer som skyldes regn, i særdeleshet mot slutten av århundret, og reduksjon i størrelsen av flommer som skyldes snøsmelting. Flommer vil forekomme tidligere på året i innlandet, mens de vil opptre senere på året i områder nær kysten. Hendelsesbaserte beslutningsstøtteindikatorer viser at historiske flomhendelser vil ha en større sannsynlighet for å forekomme i framtiden. En generell økning i størrelsen av flommer er ventet, men endringene varierer mellom kystområder og innlandet og hvorvidt flommene skyldes regn eller snøsmelting i dagens klima, og avhenger derfor av endringer i klimatiske og hydrologiske forhold. Det vil bli en generell reduksjon i lavvannsføring om sommeren og en økning om vinteren, og en markert økning av tørkevarighet og vannmangel om sommeren. Det ventes bare en moderat reduksjon i årlig vannkraftproduksjon som følge av tørke, til tross for hyppigere forekomst av tørkehendelser, på grunn av økende avrenning om vinteren. Hendelsesbaserte beslutningsstøtteindikatorer viser at situasjoner som er sammenliknbare med de mest alvorlige historiske tørkehendelsene vil bli mer vanlige mot slutten av århundret. I Xinjiang-regionen i Kina er klimaendringer en bestemmende faktor for utvikling av vannforsyning, jordbruk og sosioøkonomisk utvikling. Denne regionen har rundt 20 000 isbreer som er hovedkilden til vannressurser. Siden 1950-tallet er størrelsen av disse isbreene redusert med 20-30 %, noe som har medført redusert vannføring og tørke i nedre deler av flere vassdrag. Det er derfor behov for å evaluere virkningen av klimaendringer på isbreer og tilgjengelig vannressurser. Framskrivinger av endringer i isbreer og avrenning inntil slutten av århundret er bestemt ved hjelp av klimascenarier og hydrologiske modeller. Resultatene viser en markert reduksjon i areal av isbreer og avrenning. Den lokale økonomien i Xinjiang-regionen har to viktige produksjonssektorer, landbruk og industri. Begge har en vannproduktivitet som er lik forholdet mellom økonomisk produksjon og forbruk av vann. Beregninger med hydrologiske modeller og data for produksjon i landbruk og industri gjør det mulig å bestemme tilgjengelig vannressurser i framtiden og bestemme hvordan den lokale økonomien påvirkes under ulike scenarier for klimaendringer og produksjon i landbruk og industri. Selv om lokal jordbruksproduksjon gradvis tilpasses til høyere priser og jordbruksprodukter med lavt vannforbruk, vil denne situasjonen sannsynligvis føre til økende konflikt mellom forbruk og tilgjengelighet av vann i dette området.

The objective of GlobalHydroPressure is to provide global model-based support for assessing and quantifying the fundamental hydrological pressure in basins worldwide. A consistent and reliable estimation of this pressure is a prerequisite for assessment of vulnerability and resilience to the total, multiple environmental pressure, including both natural and human-driven components. As hydrological pressure is closely associated with extreme events (natural hazards) on different scales in space and time, a multi-scale perspective will be adopted. A key feature of the project is the development of hydrological Decision Support Indicators (DSIs), innovative indicators pertinent to the main hydrological pressures tailored for decision support with different time horizons. The project will develop existing hydrological models on global and local scales into innovative tools for supporting the decisions of end users. Local cases span different climatic, areal and topographic characteristics so that hydrological models may be adapted to different characteristics and may then be used to support local vulnerability, resilience and risk assessment in ungauged regions of difficult access, as well as contribute with input to practical tools for adaptation and decision support. The applications covered in the cases include e.g. water resources management, hydropower production, flood risk assessment and agricultural production. An important aspect of GlobalHydroPressure is the multi-scale perspective, as different hydro-meteorological hazards operate on widely different scales in time and space. Examples of extremes include flash floods, with scales down to hours and single km2s, and droughts, with scales up to multi-years and continents. A second important aspect is the close involvement of stakeholders and the intention to have a bottom-up approach, where modelling and assessment are driven by stakeholder needs in continuous collaboration.

Model-based global assessment of hydrological pressure

Prosjektet I:CAN (Impacts: Climate, Anthroposphere and Nature) finansiert av Norges forskningsråd har som formål (i) å forbedre bestemmelsen av komponentene i det hydrologiske kretsløp i Norge ved å ta eksplisitt hensyn til arealbruksendringer i beregninger med hydrologiske modeller; (ii) undersøke forholdet mellom virkning av arealbruks- og klimaendringer på det hydrologiske kretsløpet i Norge; og (iii) studere sammenhengen mellom analyser i lokal, regional og global skala. Detaljerte, høy-oppløselige kart over skogstruktur og arealbruk er produsert og er koblet til en romlig fordelt hydrologisk modell for å kvantifisere virkningene av endringer i klima og arealbruk på vannressurser. Konsistens i resultatene er ivaretatt ved å benytte fysisk korrekte metoder for å beskrive grensesnittet mellom atmosfæren og landoverflaten. Metodene som er benyttet resulterte i forbedrete modellsimuleringer. Datasett for historisk skogstruktur er konstruert for å studere individuelle og kombinerte effekter av arealbruksendringer, med vekt på endringer i skog, og klimaendringer på landoverflatens vannbalanse. Studier med hydrologiske modeller viser at endringer i arealbruk og strategier for forvaltning av skog påvirker snødekke, landoverflatens evne til å absorbere og reflektere energi, og landoverflatens vann- og energibalanse. Endringer i klima har likevel hatt en større betydning for endringer i avrenning enn arealbruksendringer i annen halvdel av forrige århundre. Analyser med en energibalansebasert snømodell viser at resultatenes sensitivitet til endringer i romlig oppløsning avhenger både av den romlige variabiliteten til klimaet i en region og av prosedyrene som benyttes for å beregne prosesser innenfor og på overflaten av snødekket.

Climate, land cover, and direct anthropogenic activities affect the magnitude of natural hazards like floods, droughts and forest fires. I:CAN will investigate the interactions between vegetation, surface water fluxes and climate in a holistic way, and will seek to quantify the separate and combined effects of climate and land use changes on natural hazards. Comprehensive data analyses and model simulations will be performed using historic observations and the most recent climate projections (1960-2100). The project will mainly focus on Norway at 1 km spatial scale; i.e. a scale suitable for local impact assessments. However, the project will also contribute to community driven global scale impact projects. Subsequently, local climate impact results will be compared and linked to those obtained at larger scales. Hence, I:CAN will contribute to increased knowledge and reduced uncertainty by ensuring that a wide range of projections applicable for local impact assessments can be used to identify and prioritize robust options to meet adaptation challenges.

0 projects

JPIWATER-Water Challenges for a Changing World

Model-based global assessment of hydrological pressure

Awarded: NOK 4.0 mill.

Project Period: 2019-2022

Location: Oslo

KLIMAFORSK-Stort program klima

Impacts: Climate, Anthroposphere and Nature (I:CAN)

Awarded: NOK 6.9 mill.

Project Period: 2015-2019

Location: Oslo