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KLIMAFORSK-Stort program klima
ArcAct - Unlocking the Arctic ocean: The climate impact of increased shipping and petroleum activities
Awarded: NOK 9.5 mill.
Source:
Project Manager:
Project Number:
184873
Application Type:
Project Period:
2008 - 2014
Funding received from:
Organisation:
Subject Fields:
Petroleum and shipping activities at higher latitudes have increased considerably over recent years, and a significant further increase is expected. Melting of sea ice will open opportunities for new shipping routes and lengthen the navigation season of e xisting routes, as well as open new areas for oil/gas production. We will assess, in terms of radiative forcing, the climate impact of increased oil/gas and shipping activity in the Arctic. Future emissions will be estimated for scenarios of development o f global shipping and oil/gas exploration. Of particular interest are the potential region-specific effects; thus emphasis will be put on short-lived species, such as primary (BC and OC) and secondary particles (sulfate, secondary OC, and nitrate), and O3 in addition to long-lived GHGs. The timing and location of the emissions of short-lived species will be taken into account. A global 3-D chemical transport model that includes a comprehensive photochemical scheme and modules for sulfate, BC and OC aeroso ls, and secondary OC will be applied. Radiative forcing simulations will be performed for the long- and short-lived gases, as well as for the direct and indirect aerosol effects. The impact of aerosols on clouds will be based on observational studies of h ow aerosols change the cloud droplet radius and cloud cover. The climate impact of oil and gas exploration will be normalized by activity data to enable a comparison with similar production in other regions. A similar approach will be taken for shipping t o compare with other and alternative shipping routes. The overall effect including lower fuel consumption from ships taking shorter routes between Europe and Asia will be estimated. The project will provide a policy relevant assessment of the overall clim ate effect of a shift of activities from other regions to the Arctic, and particularly whether emissions occurring in the Arctic region will be more harmful for climate than emissions occurring at lower latitudes.
Funding scheme:
KLIMAFORSK-Stort program klima
1.8BILL. NOKtotal funding in the programme period466PROJECTShave received funding in the programme period7SOURCEShave financed the programme
Funding Sources
Thematic Areas and Topics
Portefølje Banebrytende forskningNordområdeneArktisKlimaGlobale klimautfordringerInternasjonaliseringInternasjonalt prosjektsamarbeidLTP3 Marine bioressurser og havforvaltningGlobale utfordringerPolitikk- og forvaltningsområderMiljø, klima og naturforvaltningPolitikk- og forvaltningsområderSamferdsel og kommunikasjonKlimaKlimasystemet og klimaendringerNaturmangfold og miljøForurensning luft,vann, jord, biologiske systemer (utgår 2014)LTP3 Høy kvalitet og tilgjengelighetPolarArktisGlobale utfordringerGlobale klimautfordringerPortefølje ForskningssystemetKlimaRammebetingelser og virkemidler for utslippsreduksjon og karbonopptakNordområdeneUnike forskningsmuligheterMarinØkosystem (utgår 2014)InternasjonaliseringGrunnforskningNaturmangfold og miljøKlimaNaturmangfold og miljøGlobale miljøutfordringerNaturmangfold og miljøPolarKlimaLTP3 Klima, miljø og energiPolitikk- og forvaltningsområderNordområdeneMarinPortefølje Klima og miljøKlimaKlimaeffekter og klimatilpasningerInternasjonaliseringInngående mobilitet (utgår 2010)LTP3 Hav og kystGlobale utfordringerGlobale miljøutfordringerLTP3 Klima, polar og miljøLTP3 Fagmiljøer og talenterNordområdeneMiljø og marine ressurser (utgår 2010)