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BIONÆR-Bionæringsprogram

Visions and the consequences - analysing visions for Norwegian agriculture and its consequences for food security

Alternative title: Visjonar og konsekvensane - analysere visjonar for norsk jordbruk og konsekvensar for matsikkerheit

Awarded: NOK 12.0 mill.

Norway’s food security may be and are to some extent threaten by international conflicts, trade sanctions, breakdown of international distribution systems, climate changes, outbreak of crop and animal diseases and major shifts in global demand and supplies of food globally that hinder adequate food and feed imports. In the FOSIP project we will assess and evaluate the foundation, support, opportunities, and limitations for the goal of increased agri-food self-sufficiency in Norway and assess how far an increase will contribute to improved national food security. First, we will run a process with agri-food actors and stakeholders to identify the existing agri-food narratives and the ideological and moral differences between each narrative. Further, we will recruit members into groups representing the existing narratives to define what we call the ‘ideal-types’ of the future agri-food systems. This will be done through a series of interdisciplinary workshops between the members of the groups and the involved researchers. The defined agri-food system ‘ideal-types” will subsequently be translated into quantitative model inputs and analysed. The outcome is production quantity of various agri-food commodities, environmental and economic impacts, dietary impact, and degree of agri-food self-sufficiency. The model outputs will be evaluated with stakeholder involvement and iterated if necessary. The final model outputs will then be used to assess the various “ideal-types” impact on domestic food security using multiple measures. The outcomes of the food-security and agri-food self-sufficiency assessments will be communicated and discussed with policymakers and agri-food actors. Our ambition is broad outreach and debate of outcomes, using different communication channels.

In the FOSIP project we will assess and evaluate the foundation, support, opportunities, and limitations for the goal of increased agri-food self-sufficiency in Norway and assess how far an increase will contribute to improved national food security. First, we will run a process with agri-food actors and stakeholders to identify the existing agri-food narratives and the ideological and moral differences between each narrative. Further, we will recruit members into groups representing the existing narratives to define what we call the ‘ideal-types’ of the future agri-food systems. This will be done through a series of interdisciplinary workshops between the members of the groups and the involved researchers. The defined agri-food system ‘ideal-types” will subsequently be translated into quantitative model inputs and analysed. The outcome is production quantity of various agri-food commodities, environmental and economic impacts, dietary impact, and degree of agri-food self-sufficiency. The model outputs will be evaluated with stakeholder involvement and iterated if necessary. The final model outputs will then be used to assess the various “ideal-types” impact on domestic food security using multiple measures. The outcomes of the food-security and agri-food self-sufficiency assessments will be communicated and discussed with policymakers and agri-food actors. Our ambition is broad outreach and debate of outcomes, using different communication channels.

Publications from Cristin

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Funding scheme:

BIONÆR-Bionæringsprogram