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SFI-Sentre for forskn.drevet innov

Centre for Geophysical Forecasting (CGF)

Alternative title: Senter for geofysisk monitorering og prognosering (CGF)

Awarded: NOK 90.0 mill.

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2020 - 2028

There is a growing need for careful monitoring and prognosis in the Earth sciences. Earthquakes, landslides, mapping of water resources, hydrocarbons, and storage of CO2 are well-known examples. Our vision is to form a world-leading centre for geophysical prognosis and sustainable development of the Earth’s resources. Norway has a leading position in exploration geophysics, and our goal is to utilize this expertise and build on petroleum-based geophysics to create a new blue economy with new job markets. We will develop novel methods that enable a much more continuous and nuanced surveillance of the Earth and its resources. Specific areas of research-based innovation include CO2 storage, prediction of oil and gas resources in the subsurface, monitoring for forecasting landslides, Earthquakes and environmental sensing. Using existing fiber-optical cables that are already installed on land and at sea, we envision that that exciting new technology will spark innovation, which has a large potential for further novel use. In the center, we aim to build on these techniques for using light in fibers to listen to changes in the Earth’s crust, where we believe there can be significant societal and monetary savings in exploiting the existing infrastructure for new purposes. 4 institutes by NTNU will cooperate with NORSAR (Norway’s centre for Earth observation at Kjeller), JAMSTEC (Japan’s centre for Earthquake and tsunami research). A number of companies will contribute in the centre: NVE, Statens Vegvesen, BaneNor, Equinor, AkerBP, Tampnet, EVRY, Uninett og ASN. The multidisciplinary centre will span from physics and mathematics to computer science and geosciences.

The earth is a dynamic planet. There is a fundamental need to understand the processes influencing the earth’s crust, which ultimately supports and impacts all life. The arrival of rapid (in geological timescales) climate change with its associated ecosystem disruption has created additional challenges. Geophysics is key on both counts. Our vision is to create the world-leading research and innovation Centre for Geophysical Forecasting, by applying game-changing innovative technologies and bridging multiple disciplines and domains, across physics, geology, computer science, mathematics, academia and industry. To do this, a fundamental reorientation is needed in the way we view geophysical sampling and exploitation, shifting from traditional campaign-based approaches to continuous monitoring and forecasting in 4 dimensions. This requires both novel interdisciplinary synergy and the application of emerging technologies such as Distributed Acoustic Sensing through Fibre Optics cables, to the training of Artificial Intelligence (AI) on Big Data. Norway is already at the forefront of exploration geophysics; we intend to leverage that expertise to catalyse a new wave of commercially-valuable geophysical capabilities, applying disruptive technologies that will be game changers in the transition from hydrocarbon geophysics to the new blue economy, founded on sustainable geophysical applications. We have assembled an international cast of partners, both academic and industrial, with substantial backing already in place from key stakeholders. We have identified three core innovation research areas: CO2-storage management, Hydrocarbon production monitoring and Geohazard monitoring and forecasting, which, together, amount to an estimated new revenue potential of 12 Bn NOK of annual business. We will create both new geophysical products and services in the core businesses of our industrial partners, as well as innovative spin-off companies with new geophysical services.

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SFI-Sentre for forskn.drevet innov